{"id":31,"date":"2026-05-01T19:24:58","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T16:24:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/?p=31"},"modified":"2026-05-01T19:24:58","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T16:24:58","slug":"markets-are-underpricing-the-risk-of-middle-east-pullback-in-ai-says-tech-investor-jack-selby","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/?p=31","title":{"rendered":"Markets are underpricing the risk of Middle East pullback in AI, says tech investor Jack Selby"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"MainContent\" tabindex=\"-1\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"Special Report Article PageBuilder-page\">\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-pageWrapper\">\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-containerWidth100 PageBuilder-pageRow\">\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-col-full PageBuilder-col PageBuilder-article\">\n<div class=\"TopBanner-container\" data-top-banner-placeholder=\"true\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-containerWidth100 PageBuilder-pageRow\">\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-col-full PageBuilder-col PageBuilder-article\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-containerWidth100 PageBuilder-pageRow\">\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-col-full PageBuilder-col PageBuilder-article\">\n<div id=\"SpecialReportArticle-ArticleHeader-3\" data-test=\"articleHeader-0\" data-analytics=\"SpecialReportArticle-articleHeader-3-0\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-containerFluidWidths PageBuilder-pageRow\">\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-col-9 PageBuilder-col PageBuilder-article\">\n<div class=\"RenderKeyPoints-keyPoints\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-KeyPoints-5\" data-test=\"keyPoints-1\" data-analytics=\"SpecialReportArticle-keyPoints-5-1\">\n<div class=\"RenderKeyPoints-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"RenderKeyPoints-header\">Key Points<\/div>\n<div class=\"RenderKeyPoints-list\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<ul>\n<li>Middle East investors account for roughly a quarter of global investments committed to AI over the next five years, said Jack Selby, managing director of Peter Thiel&#8217;s family office, Thiel Capital. <\/li>\n<li>If the war in Iran drags on, and the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and other countries divert their investments to rebuilding at home, the lost capital could ripple through data centers as well as public and private tech companies, he said.<\/li>\n<li>Selby&#8217;s AI strategy is to avoid the crowds. With a second fund he&#8217;s launching at Copper Sky, his Arizona-based VC fund, Selby is targeting tech firms outside of California, New York and Massachusetts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-articleBody\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-ArticleBody-6\" data-module=\"ArticleBody\" data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"SpecialReportArticle-articleBody-6-2\"><span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"><\/span><\/p>\n<div role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108299565\">\n<div role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" id=\"Placeholder-ArticleBody-Video-108299565\" class=\"PlaceHolder-wrapper\" data-vilynx-id=\"7000411369\" data-test=\"VideoPlaceHolder\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoEmbed\" id=\"InlineVideo-0\" data-test=\"InlineVideo\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-wrapper\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-inlineThumbnailContainer\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108299591-1777498029569-INSIDE_WEALTH_JACK_SELBY_STILL_1.jpg?v=1777499736&amp;w=750&amp;h=422&amp;vtcrop=y\" alt=\"Inside Wealth: Thiel Capital Managing Director Jack Selby on investment opportunities\"><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoButton\"><\/span><span><\/p>\n<div class=\"undefined PlayButton-container\" data-test=\"PlayButton\">\n<div class=\"PlayButton-featured PlayButton-base\" data-type=\"play\"><span class=\"PlayButton-suppressFlyout PlayButton-flyout\">watch now<\/span><span class=\"icon-play-triangle PlayButton-icon\"><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoFooter\">\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-videoDurationContainer\"><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoLabel\">VIDEO<\/span><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoDurationWithLeading0\">24:49<\/span><span class=\"InlineVideo-videoDuration InlineVideo-videoLabel\">24:49<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-title\">Inside Wealth: Thiel Capital Managing Director Jack Selby on investment opportunities<\/div>\n<div class=\"InlineVideo-section\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/inside-wealth\/\">Inside Wealth<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"PlaceHolder-endCard PlaceHolder-inactive \"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>A potential pullback by Middle East sovereign wealth funds could drain hundreds of billions of dollars from the artificial intelligence boom and threaten key data center projects, according to tech investor Jack Selby.<\/p>\n<p>Middle East investors \u2014 including sovereign wealth funds and government entities \u2014 account for roughly a quarter of global investments committed to AI over the next five years, said Selby, who is managing director of Peter Thiel&#8217;s family office, Thiel Capital. If the Iran war drags on, and the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and other countries divert their investments to rebuilding at home, the lost capital could ripple through data centers as well as public and private tech companies, he said.<\/p>\n<div style=\"height:100%\" class=\"lazyload-placeholder\"><\/div>\n<p>&#8220;I think markets have underappreciated how important the Middle East region is for capex spending as it relates to AI and AI infrastructure,&#8221; Selby told CNBC in an interview. &#8220;If the Middle East starts taking some of these projects offline or canceling some of these projects, the impact on the market could be much, much, much larger than what they currently suggest.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>Selby&#8217;s warning has implications for high net worth investors, family offices and funds betting on the AI trade. A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/tech\/ai\/openai-misses-key-revenue-user-targets-in-high-stakes-sprint-toward-ipo-94a95273\" target=\"_blank\">Wall Street Journal report<\/a> this week about missed revenue targets at OpenAI rattled tech and chip stocks. Selby said the Middle East poses another funding risk, as AI companies have grown more dependent on the region for capital.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-2\"><a href=\"\/quotes\/ORCL\/\">Oracle,<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"><\/span><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-3\"><a href=\"\/quotes\/NVDA\/\">Nvidia<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"><\/span><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> and <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-4\"><a href=\"\/quotes\/CSCO\/\">Cisco<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"><\/span><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> are part of OpenAI&#8217;s campus in the UAE to build out 5 gigawatts of capacity. <span class=\"QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer\" data-test=\"QuoteInBody\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-5\"><a href=\"\/quotes\/MSFT\/\">Microsoft<\/a><span class=\"QuoteInBody-inlineButton\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer\" id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\" data-analytics-id=\"-WatchlistDropdown\"><button class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton\" aria-label=\"Add To Watchlist\" data-testid=\"dropdown-btn\"><span class=\"AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag\"><\/span><\/button><\/span><\/span><\/span> plans to invest $15 billion in the UAE by 2029. The sovereign wealth funds of the UAE and Saudi Arabia have become key investors in private AI companies, with OpenAI reportedly seeking $50 billion from the big funds in the region earlier this year.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<div class=\"RelatedContent-relatedContent\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-RelatedContent-1\">\n<div class=\"RelatedContent-container\">\n<div class=\"RelatedContent-nonCollapsibleContent\">\n<h2 class=\"RelatedContent-header\">Get Inside Wealth directly to your inbox<\/h2>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>The Inside Wealth newsletter by Robert Frank is your weekly guide to high-net-worth investors and the industries that serve them.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/lander?id=inside-wealth\">Subscribe here to get access today<\/a>. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"group\">\n<p>Selby estimates that half of the Middle East&#8217;s AI funding is dedicated to data centers located in the region. The other half is allotted to projects and data centers worldwide. Middle East funds and companies have already started canceling various shipping and business contracts by invoking force majeure, he said. The big risk is that they start canceling data centers as well.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Markets don&#8217;t seem to grasp that this is a very real situation,&#8221; he said. &#8220;It&#8217;s very volatile. I hope and I pray that it goes back to some semblance of normalcy soon. But it seems to me that markets are underpricing this volatility and the risk.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div style=\"height:100%\" class=\"lazyload-placeholder\"><\/div>\n<p>Beyond the war, AI also faces a broader risk of overinvestment and speculation, Selby said. Like the dot-com bubble, he said investors and founders are bidding up values of AI and infrastructure companies indiscriminately. He said the AI boom is consuming far more capital, with the top hyperscalers expected to spend <a href=\"https:\/\/link.cnbc.com\/click\/45452425.29123\/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25iYy5jb20vMjAyNi8wMi8wNi9nb29nbGUtbWljcm9zb2Z0LW1ldGEtYW1hem9uLWFpLWNhc2guaHRtbD9fX3NvdXJjZT1uZXdzbGV0dGVyJTdDaW5zaWRld2VhbHRoJTdDMjAyNjA0MzA\/5b69019824c17c709e62ad3cB6e5be478\" target=\"_blank\">more than $700 billion<\/a> this year. So the wealth destruction will overshadow the losses of the dot-com bust. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;AI is a revolutionary technology, don&#8217;t get me wrong,&#8221; he said. &#8220;But it can also be an exceptional bubble. There will be extreme winners and there also be some real losers. And those losers will be orders of magnitude larger than any of the losers that we&#8217;ve seen before. The AI bubble, when it busts, will be at least one more zero, probably two and three more zeros than the dot-com bubble. That will be tens, if not hundreds, of billions of dollars.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>He cited Google as an example from the dot-com era. While investors were bidding up the values of Ask Jeeves, Infoseek, AltaVista and other early search functions, Google came along and upended all their business models. He said similar disruptions could happen to today&#8217;s AI leaders.<\/p>\n<p>Selby&#8217;s AI strategy is to avoid the crowds. With a second fund he&#8217;s launching at Copper Sky, his Arizona-based VC fund, Selby is targeting tech firms outside of California, New York and Massachusetts. He said tech firms in those three states \u2014 especially the Stanford University and Massachusetts Institute of Technology clusters \u2014 are attracting all the capital and attention. So the best values lie elsewhere, he said. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Probably 90%-plus of all venture capital investment went to California, New York, Massachusetts, an all-time high,&#8221; he said. &#8220;The good news is you get outside of those three states and go to the other 47 states, the deals, the investment opportunities are far, far, far less expensive, and that&#8217;s what we do.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Selby declined to give many details on Thiel&#8217;s family office, saying only that Thiel invests in great founders rather than specific industries. Thiel Capital, which ranked on the <a href=\"https:\/\/link.cnbc.com\/click\/45452425.29123\/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25iYy5jb20vMjAyNi8wMi8xMi9pbnNpZGUtd2VhbHRoLWZhbWlseS1vZmZpY2UtMTUuaHRtbD9fX3NvdXJjZT1uZXdzbGV0dGVyJTdDaW5zaWRld2VhbHRoJTdDMjAyNjA0MzA\/5b69019824c17c709e62ad3cB3ea312a6\" target=\"_blank\">Inside Wealth Family Office 15<\/a> list of most active family office investors, has invested in everything from German drone maker Stark and gene therapy startup Kriya Therapeutics to the AI hiring company Mercor and the space research firm Varda. <\/p>\n<p>Yet as a family office director and head of a VC fund that raises money from family offices, Selby said the biggest mistake for many family offices today is making their own direct investments. A survey from Citibank last year found that seven out of 10 family offices have made direct investments in private companies, without going through a fund.<\/p>\n<p>Selby said he understands why family offices are striking out on their own, given the dismal performance of private equity and venture capital funds and lack of distributions. He said two-thirds of venture capital firms are &#8220;zombie VCs,&#8221; that aren&#8217;t raising or returning money and should close.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Family offices are so frustrated with people like ourselves, who have not been returning their capital, so why shouldn&#8217;t they try it themselves?&#8221; Selby said. &#8220;They couldn&#8217;t do any worse than a lot of what [VCs] have been doing in terms of making investments, not giving money back, having marks on paper.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, however, he said typical family offices aren&#8217;t adequately trained in assessing, valuing and restructuring private companies. Many ultrawealthy investors are more motivated by status and peer pressure than by disciplined returns.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;When these fancy people go to their cocktail parties in Manhattan, they have to have something interesting to talk about,&#8221; he said. &#8220;All of their friends are talking about some version of [direct investments]. So they have to have something to add to the conversation. So therefore, they do the same thing. The Greek shipping magnate that lives in Manhattan knows nothing about rocketry. So why is he investing in SpaceX? Because he just wants to have something fun to talk about at the fancy cocktail party.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"ArticleBody-MobileAdhesion\" class=\"MobileAdhesion-container\" data-module=\"mps-slot\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-googlePreferredSourceContainer\" data-module=\"GooglePreferredSource\" data-id=\"SpecialReportArticle-GooglePreferredSource-6\">\n<div class=\"ArticleBody-googlePreferredSourceBorder\"><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-containerFluidWidths PageBuilder-pageRow\">\n<div class=\"PageBuilder-col-9 PageBuilder-col PageBuilder-article\">\n<div class=\"TransporterSection-transporterWrapper\" id=\"SpecialReportArticle-TransporterSection-10\" 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class=\"Card-titleAndFooter\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"Card-titleContainer\">\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/04\/24\/new-york-pied-a-terre-tax.html\" class=\"Card-title\" target=\"\">New York&#8217;s pied-a-terre tax sets up legal fight over values <\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Card-cardFooter \"><span class=\"Card-byline\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/robert-frank\/\">Robert Frank<\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Card-standardBreakerCard Card-rectangleToRectangleMediaHalf Card-card\" data-test=\"Card\">\n<div class=\"Card-mediaContainer\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/04\/23\/luxury-real-estate.html\" target=\"\" tabindex=\"-1\"><\/p>\n<div class=\" \">\n<div class=\"Card-squareMediaContainer Card-placeholder\"><picture data-test=\"Picture\"><source 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srcset=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108295527-1776875933010-gettyimages-1253539232-20181023_8103924-hdr.jpeg?v=1776875958&amp;w=600&amp;h=300&amp;ffmt=webp&amp;vtcrop=y\" media=\"(min-width: 0px)\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\" type=\"image\/webp\"><\/source><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/image.cnbcfm.com\/api\/v1\/image\/108295527-1776875933010-gettyimages-1253539232-20181023_8103924-hdr.jpeg?v=1776875958&amp;w=600&amp;h=300&amp;vtcrop=y\" alt=\"What $1 million buys you in real estate around the world \" fetchpriority=\"low\" class=\"Card-mediaContainerInner\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"Card-textContent\">\n<div class=\"Card-titleAndFooter\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"Card-titleContainer\">\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/04\/23\/luxury-real-estate.html\" class=\"Card-title\" target=\"\">What $1 million buys you in real estate around the world <\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Card-cardFooter \"><span class=\"Card-byline\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/robert-frank\/\">Robert Frank<\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Button-buttonContainer\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/inside-wealth\/\" class=\"Button-buttonLink\" title=\"Read More\">Read More<span class=\"icon-arrow-down-readmore TransporterSection-arrowIcon\"><\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p> Orijinal Kaynak<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key Points Middle East investors account for roughly a quarter of global investments committed to AI over the next five years, said Jack Selby, managing director of Peter Thiel&#8217;s family office, Thiel Capital. If the war in Iran drags on, and the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and other countries divert their investments to rebuilding [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-genel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/biyer.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}